Nasrollah’s knot & Saudi Arabia’s knot

Written by Nasser Kandil,

The resistance is strong enough to make Israel know that it will affect it to deter it from thinking about the war, the American administration has become certain of the impossibility of continuing waging the war for overthrow the Syrian President, and thus it accepted a political solution under his presidency, its priority is to proceed in the war on terrorism as a real source of danger, Turkey started to use its mind in its considerations, but the knot is Saudi Arabia which lost in Syria and now is losing in Yemen, its problem is that instead of reading the realities and admitting of the facts, it searches for a party that beholds it the consequences of its failure and defeat, this summarizes the crisis of the region and explains the Saudi war on Hezbollah, this is what the leader of the resistance said at the dialogue on Al Mayadeen TV.

According to Saudi Arabia all the matters are reverse, without the intervention of Hezbollah in Syria, Yemen, and Iraq, the Saudi option was achieving victory, even if the Saudi option had achieved a victory, the American position would not have changed, and if the American position had remained the same, the understating on the Iranian nuclear program would not have happened and constituted a source of the international recognition of Iran as a rising superpower, except for this Iranian emerging along with the strengthening of the power of Hezbollah, the Russian would not dare to intervene militarily in Syria and to move with this war from one bank to another, the origin of the knot is Hezbollah according to the political diplomatic media Saudi logic and what is going on recently on all these levels does not keep the Saudi reading between lines but it shows it apparently as a fierce war against Hezbollah that occupies the priority position of Riyadh’s interests.

During a stage of stages of the big beginnings which the region witnesses since what was known as the beginnings of the Arab Spring and the loss of a certain destination of the conflict amid the political and intellectual chaos which accompanied the changes in the street, it seemed that the first attraction is formed by the regional international team that is positioning behind the Syrian country, that is confronted by a regional international team that is positioning behind the hostility toward the Syrian country and the supporting of its opponents, this was present strongly in the years 2012 and 2013 then it followed by the progress of the Iranian nuclear program to the forefront, therefore the only door of conflict was Iran which sticks to its nuclear rights on one hand, while Israel threatens of the war on the other hand. The world is divided into two camps, one camp supports Iran, and one camp supports Israel, the conflict in Syria became a confrontation arena between the two camps, and it seemed that on the basis of the outcome of the confrontation, the fate of the Iranian nuclear issue will be determined, this was between the two years 2013 and 2014  and when there was an understanding on the Iranian nuclear issue on its main titles, the Russian American conflict took the lead, from Ukraine to the two markets of oil and gas passing by Syria and the Iranian nuclear file, till there were speculations concerning the understanding on the Iranian nuclear file about the Russian exist of the equations of the Middle East through American Iranian understanding , till the qualitative Russian positioning was on the Syrian war line, and has caused shifts started by Vienna path and was culminated in the resolution 2254 of the Security Council, as well as the consecration of the status of the Syrian President towards the armistice, Munich path and causing the fall of what was known as the option of Al-Nusra Front, and the emergence of the Russian American understanding clearly, as well as the recognition of Washington’s allies of the size of change.

The new positioning of the confrontation on the political geography in the region is proceeding now as a confrontation between two concepts, the concept of Nasrollah’s knot for which the Saudis and the Israelis are promoting, its basis is that if the disposal of the surplus power of Hezbollah and the minimizing of its presence has been settled. but not necessarily crushing it according to the slogans of July War 2006 then everything will change in the region from Syria to Iraq to Yemen to the Western relationship with Iran and Russia, this concept is opposed by Saudi knot through which Al Sayyed Nasrollah is summarizing the last episodes of the wars in the region, but there are two differences between the two concepts, the first difference is that Al Sayyed Hassan Nasrollah sees that the conviction of Saudi Arabia of the options of the political solutions and the settlements will end the bloodshed in the region and make the war on terrorism achieve its victory, while Saudi Arabia sees in hitting Hezbollah a clause to change the equations and reduce the defeats, while the second difference is that those who are in solidarity with the Saudi concept are doing that for different considerations rather than for the Saudi considerations, these considerations are for the Israeli security, and not only for the sake of Saudi Arabia, but most of those at their forefront Washington are convinced implicitly with the concept of Nasrollah and the necessity of persuading Saudi Arabia to climb down from the tree

Nasrollah will not wage his war against Saudi Arabia as it wages against him and against Hezbollah the cruelest and most violent wars, and maybe Saudi Arabia knows or does not know that it is the alternative war of July War 2006 with full Saudi cost, not as some Saudi leaderships hope that it is an introduction for a war in which Israel participates, because Israel  does not have the ability of the adventure of going to war, exactly as Israel has waged its war in 2006 instead of American war, on the basis of the attempt to compensate the American  failure in Iraq and Afghanistan in order to humiliate the resistance  alliance which was not fallen by negotiation after the American occupation of Iraq and Afghanistan. But it seems from the speech of Al Sayyed Hassan Nasrollah that he waged his war against the Saudi war in accordance with his approach of July War, it means to be adequate of disrupting the achievement of goals, the steadfastness is in itself a victory, the confidence is greater this time as the ability. Therefore the certainty of Saudi Arabia of its failure in weakening the first resistance party and the progress of the tracks of accumulating the achievements in Syria, Iraq, and Yemen will be the crucial point for solving the Saudi knot which Al Sayyed Hassan Nasrollah has talked about; the knot of climbing down from the tree because of the lack of alternatives.

Al Sayyed is confident ….. and he promises of victory once again …..not against Saudi Arabia but by bringing it back to the settlements seats.

Translated by Lina Shehadeh,