What is between the lines of Hezbollah?

Written by Nasser Kandil,

In the words of the Deputy Secretary –General of Hezbollah Sheikh Naim Qassim to Al-Binaa Newspaper what is far from the traditional language which deprives the recipient from getting answers for the implicit questions which come to the mind of broad audience of the followers and the concerned as politicians and diplomats, taking into consideration the rules of the well calculated answers which do not allow converting the conclusions into official speech attributed to Hezbollah at the spokesman of the major leader in it , who is the Deputy Secretary –General. His answers were as precise military process that passes among the ambushes, and his words were as professional group that carries out its mission then returns back to its bases safely without losses. In politics and diplomacy the success is in making the reader concludes the answers without falling into the aureate general language, without falling into the traps of the collision without justification, and without causing sided confrontations with no fundamental issue, through revealing mysteries, provoking the opponents, and embarrassing the allies.

The words of Sheikh Naim Qasim reveal a path for discussing the law of the parliamentary elections where there is no place for anyone to have the right of veto, or the endeavor to reassure someone that he will not be affected by the new law. The goal is the seek for a law that no one can confute  of its justice and its equality in giving the equal opportunities for all, not considering the electoral outcome which satisfies the objectors, but the endeavor for consensus and resorting at the end to the judgement of the vote in case the consensus was difficult, but when there is a national adequate suitable quorum to produce a law, it seems clearly that Hezbollah responds to the minimum limit of its controls in a political background trusted by Hezbollah that it is radically different, it is  reassured to the stability of the transformations and the solidity of the balances. It is aware that the time of the major tactics for its confrontation from the Lebanese gate has gone and its opponents are local forces without incubating foreign projects, even if the incubators remained the same abroad, furthermore, the internal game has become in a big ratio internally that is waged by Hezbollah according to its rules while the final word is left in the form and in the timing to the critical steps of its ally which it trusts, the President of the Republic.

Through its relation with Iran Hezbollah is not embarrassed by presenting different reading of that stated by the Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammed Jayad Zarif. There was neither direct nor indirect Iranian Saudi  dialogue  that contributed in leading to a settlement in Lebanon that brought the General Michael Aoun as a candidate whom was nominated by Hezbollah for two years and a half of the vacancy, but there was a dialogue between Hezbollah and Al Mustaqbal Movement which observes the variables, consults Saudi Arabia,  and tries not to annoy its other external allies, but Hezbollah which is an ally to Iran and Syria and which does not hide its new alliance with Russia within the equations of its readings of the alliances, toward which it says confidentially that they are stable is an independent party that neither consulted, nor received signs or instructions but it is confident through its permanent saying ; do not bother yourselves with Iran, because you will hear one response “communicate with Hezbollah”, when they communicated with Hezbollah they reached to a settlement. However, after a comprehensive reading for what was intended by the Iranian Minister Hezbollah does not mind according to the opinion Sheikh Qasim that this local convergence is repeatable if the intensions are good and if there are real readings for the igniting issues everywhere.

It is logical that Sheikh Qasim did not reveal the source of his conclusions that the Turkish talk about the exit of Hezbollah from Syria as a condition for the settlement was neither strategic speech for the indirect change in the military and the regional equations, nor hostile one that required the caution and the attention and maybe the response and the confrontation, it was speech that aimed to please the armed opposition factions and others, but it has ended. Sheikh Qasim does not prevent the listener or the reader from the conclusion that this could not be mere analysis, but reassurances received by Hezbollah accompanied with appeasing, its source was the Turkish leadership to avoid the debate or the confrontation, a Turkish message to Hezbollah that says we do not want to confront you, we are aware that you are not under the discussion regarding the political solution in Syria, and that your presence is bigger than the equations of the barters, but the speech that dealt with your presence had a functional role and it was over.

The confidence in the durability of the alliance between Russia, Iran, Syria, and Hezbollah according to this sequence at the spokesman of the Deputy of the Secretary-General of Hezbollah is not a reassurance for the Lebanese allies or propaganda against the opponents, and not to please the followers of Hezbollah who are not used by only for the credibility from a party which does not hide its objection to the truce projects which were led by Russia during the past year in Syria. And the confidence in the durability of the quartet alliance is linked with what will be after the battles of Aleppo.  What is known and realized by Hezbollah and which is linked directly with the facts that surpass the political speech or the field coordination are strategic understandings and interactions that are further than the future of the war on Syria and the political solution in it, they are related to the future of the relations and their type among the parties of the quartet alliance within a new Middle East that concerns everyone and everyone participates in forming its map.

Hezbollah is not under discussion of any political solution in Syria, the title of the solution is the relation of the country with the opposition not the relation of Hezbollah with the Syrian country which is considered by Hezbollah as a part of the resistance axis, and from this perspective it sees a future for this relation, so its presence depends on its relation with this country not with the other considerations. While according to the Israeli considerations, it is clear from the words of Sheikh Qasim regarding the future of the Golan front that the understanding between Syria and Hezbollah is based on the developments of the force in confronting Israel, not leaving it comfortable or reassured, towards calming down the confrontation, easing the front, and making controls and rules for it at the expense of the stability of Syria. Israel has to choose whether to coexist with this new situation or to confront. Hezbollah along with Syria and supported with or at least under the attention of Iran and Russia and according to the equation of the stability of the quartet alliance which Sheikh Qasim has talked about, are ready for every probability and for bearing the consequences.

At the end of the words of the Deputy Secretary-General of Hezbollah there was a resizing of the status of the US change, the confusion to the extent of madness in the policies and the positions internally and externally is enough for Hezbollah to say that it does not pay too much attention to what may be issued by Washington, because now it is no longer as it was and we are no longer as we were.

Translated by Lina Shehadeh,