The open war: Tehran and Ankara or Riyadh and Tel Aviv?

Written by Nasser Kandil,

Everything witnessed can be included in the title of the Saudi war on Iran. The summits which were held in Riyadh and in which the US President Donald Trump participated as a guest of honor with a cost of his attending card of five billion dollars are just an interpretation of the US joining to the Saudi war, even they can be considered as a US decision to humiliate the Arabs and a new occupation by taking the money of Saudi Arabia and then departing. The facts say that the Saudi funding laundering for terrorism and showing Saudi Arabia by the US Presidential tweets on Twitter as a leader of the war on terrorism have been put in Trump’s pockets. Saudi Arabia has substituted the international and the US accusations that are documented by the Congress and the courts about its responsibility of sponsoring the terrorism and financing it with agreed scapegoat which is Qatar that can be considered as a compensation for the money paid to the US President, so with a green light from him the campaign against Qatar can be considered as the beginning of the end of terrorism.

According to Iran there is no American issue worth the war in the logic of the direct interests, the interest of Israel and the interest of Saudi Arabia have become the high US interest, one by the force of command, and one by the force of money. The outcome is recruiting Washington in serving the Saudi-Israeli war on Iran. The battle of Qatar is just what the Americans call it militarily the closeness to the castle and cleaning the house from the problems. Some of the punishment of Qatar is because it stood in the middle in the relationship with Iran, even as a political opportunism, as the crisis with Turkey in Washington nothing can explained it but the logic of the war with Iran, which Ankara does not  pay attention to it after the defeat of the joint alliance with Riyadh, Washington , and Tel Aviv on Syria, so it accepted the partnership with Iran from Astana gate, even the Syrian Iraqi Kurdish file towards the separation is an interpretation of disabling the formation of a strong state in Syria and Iraq from within the concept of the Saudi Israeli war, and the far goal which is Iran.

When Washington appoints the professional killer who has arranged the assassination of the leader in the resistance the martyr Imad Mughniyah as a responsible for the file of Iran  directly after the summits of Riyadh, then it is an announcement of a war, and when ISIS takes the responsibility of implementing major security operations  in the Iranian capital Tehran that were not possible before forming the US-Gulf operations room that puts all the information, agents, eavesdropping devices, money,  geography , the relation with the terrorist groups, and the ability to move and to follow-up closely on one table, then it is exactly as the process of the assassination of the martyr Imad Mughniyah with the same operations room. It is formal detail to behold ISIS the task and to facilitate the access of its groups to the goals and to supply its leaders with information, details, money, weapons, and explosives. The history of the US intelligence is full of similar examples about how these actions implemented by proxy, they call it “sleeping with the devil”.

Michael Diandria is the direct responsible for the implementation of Tehran’s military operations, while Mohammed Bin Salman is the responsible for the provision of ammunition and money, and many others in the Gulf who have a long history of security in the process of the martyr Mughniyah have the responsivity of supplying with information and the logistical details, while ISIS which announced its responsibility is just a tool, it says in its statements that all their claims about the war on terrorism are false because they are the operators and the financers and we are still the victims.

The US raids on the Syrian Badia near Al Tanf were the field message which says to Tehran about the desired goal to stop the targeting, as the Kurdish announcement in Iraq about the referendum on the separation, it says to Ankara what is required from the message of Qatar. Tehran has to accept to hand over the borders between Syria and Iraq to militias run by the US intelligence, otherwise the destabilization will continue in Iran. Ankara has to accept the recognition of a Kurdish privacy on its borders with Syria otherwise it will surrender and Qatar will fall.

The response was not delay in Tehran, but at least it resolved the matter. In Ankara there are preliminary indicators that worth observing after the ratification of the joint defense treaty with Qatar by the Turkish parliament, it allows the deployment of Turkish troops in military bases in Qatar, but the matter in Tehran is unambiguous. The announcement of beholding the responsibility to Washington and Riyadh about the terrorist operations and the promise to respond, and the statement of the allies in Syria to respond to the US raids near Al Tanf towards targeting the US gatherings in Syria and the region.

The conflict is open between two bilateral to form the new regional system in the Middle East. The bilateral of Astana which is sponsored by Russia between Tehran and Ankara, and the bilateral of Riyadh and Tel Aviv after offering Qatar depending on the Saudi-Israeli understanding and under US sponsorship, while the Saudi-Israeli bilateral is weaker, but it is more cohesive and resolute. The Iranian-Turkish bilateral is stronger but it needs Turkish’s resolving of the options. The Turks must pay attention that the war does not want to overthrow Iran from the new system but to legitimatize Saudi Arabia instead of Turkey as a partner of Iran, and to improve the conditions of Israel.

Translated by Lina Shehadeh,