Military and Political Escalation Raises Questions about Negotiation Process Ripeness to Produce an Agreement. Intelligence Heads Meet Today to Evaluate Risks to Negotiations… and Hamas Warns. Al Hudhud II (Hoopoe Bird II) Reveals Occupation Army’s Vulnerabilities on Golan Front…Al Mukawama (Resistance) Targets.
Albinaa’ Newspaper Headlines July 10, 2024.
The ripeness of conditions for an agreement on Gaza, which everyone acknowledges as a settlement reflecting the balance of power resulting from 9 months of war, can be read from distant points of engagement, in the background of which is an accumulation from years of confrontation between two major axes in the region and in general, one which includes the Occupation led by Washington, and another comprising Iran, Syria, and the Axis of
Al Mukawama’s forces. First of such signals is U.S. National Security Communications Advisor John Kirby’s statement about the election of Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian, who called in his election campaign for the resumption of frozen nuclear negotiations, that the United States is unwilling to resume nuclear talks with Iran under the new President.
In the region’s two important fronts, signals about the ripeness of the negotiation process, supposed to produce an agreement which will have repercussions on the entire region even though its subject matter is ending the war on Gaza, are no better. Escalation in the Yemeni-Saudi process through reviving the dossier of moving the Central Bank from Sanaa’ and the leader of Ansar Allah’s Movement Al Sayyed Abdelmalek AlHouthi’s fierce response, signal that things are not going the way they should if we were in an environment ready for the success of the negotiations and reaching a settlement.
In parallel, intelligence is confirmed about the outcome of Iraqi-American negotiations in regards to ending the mission of the international coalition forces, façade for the American occupation, in that the Americans are not hiding their insistence on retaining a part of their forces in Iraq under the rubric of the need for servicing their continued occupation of parts of Syria. The mere declaration of the intent to remain in Syria, even in the event of complete withdrawal from Iraq, points to a negative atmosphere which will only result in escalation.
Going back to the negotiations and direct confrontations in the Gaza war, the Occupation army’s escalation and its commission of even more massacres, and Hamas’ response and first time warning from the failure of negotiations are sufficient to inform that the negotiation process is stumbling, and that Benyamin Netanyahu’s government does not want to reach a final agreement to end the war. It wants a partial deal in which some prisoners are exchanged and a ceasefire lasting a few weeks and then a return to confrontations, with no objection to a similar cease fire which does not put an end to either the prisoners’ dossier or the war, until the American elections end with a decisive say about the extent to which Tel Aviv can rely on Washington to continue the war. And because the negotiation process is reeling but not falling, and because the Occupation’s army is exhausted and incapable of waging a war with costs exceeding its tolerance, the heads of intelligence of America, the Occupation, Egypt, and Qatar are meeting today to discuss how to keep the negotiation process afloat and bring down the level of escalation.
Lebanon’s front remains the directing compass. The Occupation is anxious about the danger of explosion, despite the great deal of talk about intentions of war, later becoming talk with reduced volume, and then barely audible whispers. With the appearance of Al Mukawama’s deterrence power, and its apparent absence of efforts to avoid slippage into a large scale war, it has become known that solely through the pressure this front exerts, can the entity be brought to an agreement, given the dossier of the displaced and its daily increasing pressure, and the pressure exerted by the collapse of the image of deterrence and accompanying intolerable insult and humiliation at the military and political levels not concealed by the occasional assassination of a personage in Al Mukawama.
The surprises which Al Mukawama holds continue to present more deterrence and superiority, with yesterday revealing the harvest of Al Hudhud II, with its stage the occupied Golan, and containing an aerial survey of the Occupation’s military and intelligence command posts. The recording revealed the degree of Al Mukawama’s intelligence infiltration in the fabric of information and secret military geography of the Occupations’ military, while targeted attacks which preceded the broadcast of the recording and targeted attacks which followed confirm the upper hand of Al Mukawama.