December 02, 2024
By Nasser Kandil
• The concept of the deep state stems from the desire of those who hold real power to influence a nation’s decisions without provoking political instability due to changes in its visible leadership. In essence, it forms a network of relationships that shift in dominance as power dynamics evolve, spanning financial, military, security, cultural, and media spheres. The apparent structures of the state serve merely to execute the overarching policies crafted by the deep state, which aligns with the nation’s supreme interests. These policies are often developed by specialised think tanks and disseminated through influential media institutions.
• In the U.S., the rivalry between Democrats and Republicans – particularly between Joe Biden and Donald Trump – has dominated the political landscape, even with Kamala Harris as vice president. Trump advocated for “America First” policies, focusing on national interests and expressing skepticism toward globalisation. The deep state, once entirely aligned with Biden, has begun shifting, with some factions supporting Trump preemptively, while others prepare to negotiate deals with him post-victory. These deals often revolve around global wars, especially those involving Russia and the Resistance Axis, as the antagonism toward China serves as common ground between Trump and the deep state.
• The escalation we’re witnessing during Biden’s remaining tenure – such as missile strikes deep into Russia and attacks on Aleppo – are considered achievements that could yield strategic gains to exploit under a Trump administration or become bargaining chips if their impact proves limited. Based on this the 60-day ceasefire agreement in Lebanon serves as an opportunity to recalibrate the trajectory of multiple conflicts, not only in Lebanon but also in Gaza, Syria, and Ukraine.
• The battle for Aleppo exposes the extent of the deep state’s confusion, despite its claims of precision and intelligence. A striking example is highlighted in the Los Angeles Times, reporting on Syrian armed factions trained by the Pentagon clashing with groups backed by the CIA. For instance, the Pentagon-supported Knights of Justice forces, involved in the Aleppo offensive, have been fighting against Kurdish units funded by the CIA.
• Is this a sign of the deep state’s disarray, a testament to Syrian cleverness, or perhaps a mix of both?
