Al Sayyed Hassan Nasrollah and the danger of the development of the last scene

Written by Nasser Kandil,

Al Sayyed Hassan Nasrollah who is supported by Hezbollah which is the backbone of the Lebanese resistance against Israel and the achiever of the most prominent of its accomplishments has persevered during the intervening period from the outbreak of the Syrian crisis on presenting a speech that is based on two stabilities, the first is based on the refusal of the resistance the entrance in hostilities, diatribes, confrontations, and skirmishes that drive it away from the enemy which it does not recognize, but an enemy  it is Israel, the second is based on the refusal of the resistance the entrance within the equations of the traditional linkage of the war against  Israel with the imperative confrontation with the Arab reactionary as was the speech of Gamal Abdel Nasser, because this linkage makes it losing the uniqueness in the exclusive hostility towards Israel on one hand, and this will cause an internal Lebanese reaction that will make the resistance lose a level of an internal calmness which it is in need of if the illusion of having the consensus around was unattainable, and maybe it will embroil it to the strife which has the form of a sectarian conflict quickly, thus it becomes an attrition element of the resistance, its people, and its background on the other hand. The resistance did not do that neither out of lack of knowledge in the attitudes and roles, nor because it is incapable of estimating the forces, their relations, and the logic of politics which determines the countries’ choices, and makes it in front of a crucial issue in the region and in the international relations as the size of the security of Israel within clear and specific schemes, either makes it engage in the conflict with Israel or be within the camp of subservience and the delay in supporting the Palestinian issue and its people, which it considers implicitly a burden on it and on its deep alliances internationally and regionally, it feels with embarrassment of any bright presence in this issue, because it imposes on it undesirable attitudes  and makes it look with hostility for every resistance that achieves victory against Israel because this discloses its conspiracy and feebleness and reveals the falsity of its claims. Therefore the resistance has interacted with consciousness and certainty because it is the safest way to serve its noble issue.

After July war 2006 and despite that there were many facts that reveal the Arab roles which participated in conspiring the resistance, and despite the emergence and the disclosure of many local related attitudes, the resistance, Al Sayyed Hassan, and Hezbollah have remained on the methodology of avoiding nominating the things in their names, the attempt continued to round the angles, and to turn page on the basis of the same consideration, allowing for these local and Arab forces to review their policies and the discovering their unreality in the betting on the legend of the American Israeli ability, and the wrong of their expectations about defeating the resistance, paving the way for a more cautious policy and less accelerating in the coming confrontations, explaining the progress of the resistance during a quarter of a century  that this methodology has helped the resistance in achieving its victories, strengthening its power, and building a national structure that protects it, in addition to the governments which adopt in their statements its famous trilogy  of the integration of army, people, and the resistance. But the question remains for the stage after the Syrian crisis and the possessing of the resistance and Al Sayyed Nasrollah the new speech; a speech of naming the real things in their actual names, does what was true in the past is still valid for the present and future?

The speech of the resistance and Al Sayyed Nasrollah has developed gradually on the rhythm  of the crisis and the war against Syria, from advising the opposition to describing it, then revealing the weakness of its presence and its transforming to mere slogans of foreign countries, then advising  what was called the groups of the Salafist Jihad, which today they were described publically as their reality of terrorist organizations but by not involving in the war because the American Israeli plans of the sectarian strives are betting on  them to agitate these strives, then these plans agitate them then describe the role of these groups and ending with fighting them. With the progress of the war in Syria towards advising the Gulf governments and the Lebanese affiliated branches to not bet neither on the falling of Syria nor dividing it nor on the strives, and specially not to bet on the terrorism, because every recipe of badness against Syria will affect it before Syria, the speech has been developed to describe the Gulf engagement at its forefront Saudi Arabia and its taking over the responsibility of leading it, funding it and bringing the terrorism, and with the rhythm of Yemen’s war, there was a conclusion that Saudi Arabia is the cause of each scourge of all Arabs, thus the speech of the resistance matches the speech of Gamal Abdel Nasser in the fifties  and during the Yemen war, so does the resistance discover this fact which Abdel Nasser has preceded to it or just reveal it ?

Any observer or a follower especially if he was close to the resistance, its mind, and its way of thinking can verify of the certainty that the resistance and Al Sayyed Hassan Nasrollah are sure of the validity of the speech of Abdel Nasser from the beginning. by contrast the resistance and Al Sayyed Hassan Nasrollah want to accumulate more amount of the victories regarding Palestine before obliging to wade a direct confrontation with the extremist terrorist organizations and with Saudi Arabia alike, therefore the assured resistance knows that this confrontation is coming no doubt but it wants to postpone it to achieve its victory with the highest degree of calmness, it accumulates its strength and makes the credibility of its reputation and its loyalty to its choices towards Palestine to a broad range of Arabs and Muslims, furthermore it will not go to the confrontation but in case of obligation, it has tried everything possible to avoid it, one of the advantages of postponing here is that it postpones the confrontation to a timing where the resistance is stronger and firmer and where the region is in the heart of balances in which the considerations change, but the resistance is confident that in a certain stage of the growing of its strength, and regardless of the smoothness, fluency, and flexibility of its speech it will be by an American Israeli demand a first target of Al-Qaeda organization and Saudi Arabia, because they represent reserve back lines to protect the American interests and to protect Israel.

The war against Syria is not far of a war by proxy against the resistance and the Iranian Russian engagement, this makes the resistance at the forefront of an international regional alliance in confronting another alliance, where the illusion of neutralization and neutrality are not useful, what is going these days put the whole world in front of margins of narrow choices, where Saudi Arabia seems to be insisting on being alien from the escape’s exits, because the West which is bargaining Russia and Iran with considerations and confronts for the post war, knows that the victory of the resistance alliance is decisive and settled. Turkey will know how to avoid the national loss by making the Justice and Development Party supported by the Muslim Brotherhood pay the bill of failure, what is left is Saudi Arabia which is still escalating without horizon to hit its head in the wall, maybe it chooses a Lebanese wall to hit its head with; it is the resistance, so what we witness of Lebanese escalation is just a peak of an iceberg. The resistance and Al Sayyed Nasrollah find that the transition from advising Saudi Arabia to describing it will end with fighting it, as the transition was from advising the extremist groups to describing them, and then fighting them.

Maybe Al Mostaqbal Movement can seize the opportunity before the danger of forming the last scene to do something, and what will happen before the fifteenth of this month the date of demobilizing the Brigadier Shamel Roukaz is more important than an administrative date, it is bigger than politics, it is the date with the major options.