The trilogy of Al-Assad is winning

Written by Nasser Kandil,

Since the starting of the crisis in Syria as a background of a world war led by Washington to overthrow the regime of the President Bashar Al-Assad and, to change the status of Syria in the Middle East’s map from a position that confuses Israel and Saudi Arabia, a bridge for the presence of Iran and Russia on the Mediterranean, and a rear base for the resistance in Lebanon and Palestine to become an extension for the Turkish, Israeli, and Saudi trio and an American geopolitical base, the Syrian President has behaved according to the considerations of a strategic mind its basis is the steadfastness for many years that exhausted the force and the bets which were prepared for the winning of his opponents in the war without falling into the illusion of the ability to achieve the decisive victory, or the success in the political solution that ends the crisis and the war..

Since the starting of the crisis and the war together, the President Al-Assad has put a trilogy its basis is the vocabularies that have a magical status in the keys of the strategy on which the president has depended in his plan to confront the crisis and the war and to prepare the conditions of the victory and the solution together, so there are no opportunities for a political solution through presenting concessions to the opposition’s symbols which are not more than interfaces for the abroad that is involved in the decision of relentless war, although presenting concessions is possible and needed to the extent of convincing the Syrians and the allies of the useless of presenting more concessions, therefore it is impossible through the human, military, and the economical capacities of Syria to wage the war of the decisive victory, as long as the opposite side has huge military and financial  capacities that exhaust the human capacities that include tens of thousands of Al-Qaeda fighters, so it is enough to wage selective battles carefully that end with a crucial victory to convince the allies of the ability to wage the whole war until the victory, if the conditions of the war were available, but this is beyond the ability of Syria alone.

The trilogy of the vocabularies which the Syria President has repeated included the chemical weapon which Syria is always accused of its use, the terrorism which is accused of its immunity, and the democracy which it is accused of violating its rules. The equations of the President Al-Assad were built on the awareness that the decision of invading Syria by the Americans has been settled, but it needs the coverage of the Security Council, if Russia has accepted and used the right Veto to prevent this coverage then the war will have a coverage claim of accusing Syria of using the chemical weapons. Syria has put the paper of the legal political solution of its chemical weapons at the Russian President to prove its credibility on one hand, in exchange of a Russian firm position against the war when it is announced, that enables it to present a political solution that cannot be rejected on the other hand. After this round the next attempt for the invasion is called combating the terrorism which the American and his allies have gathered its fighters from all over the world into Syria, then announce the war against it, but in this case they will exhaust Syria and violate its sovereignty and made it a war of long years. Syria is ready on agreed timing if it was supported by its allies to provide the elements of the partnership in the war that achieves a decisive victory against the terrorism, by putting a paper of irresistible strength under their control that includes the call for a political solution based on the initiative of the President Al-Assad of accepting early presidential elections that have competitive guarantees and confidence procedures that will discuss at its time.

The equations of Al-Assad were that Washington was without an international coverage from the Security Council, so it will not venture of a war without a moral title entitled the chemical weapon, but it will not dare to confront the war where Russia and Iran are partners in it and when the matter becomes a peaceful settlement for the Syrian chemical weapon, so it will resort to fatten the calf of terrorism till making it a substitute title to bring its troops and to justify its intervention, but at the same time it will not dare to clash with Russia and Iran when they adopt the same title of the war on terrorism because they are proceed in  the strength of the cooperation with the Syrian army and the credibility of fighting to defeat all the variations and the nominations of the terrorist organizations, then it deserves the last round of the strategic game.

Al-Assad has put his last move on the chessboard with the coordination of its Russian and Iranian allies without permitting to deal with it before, their condition is a complete understanding first with the allies on waging the war of resolving and the partnership against the terrorism and to go forward in achieving it quickly and forcibly, and consequently with the involved in the war against Al-Assad and Syria. This understanding links everything in a comprehensive integrated clear classification of terrorism, lifting the sanctions and accepting the return of Syria, as Iran has returned to the international arena as a member of full rights economically, diplomatically, and legally, but the conditional shift is the early presidential elections with the guarantees of competition and the confidence’s procedures, and it is possible for these elections to cover all the points of the presence of the Syrians inside and outside Syria as a kind of  an international partnership in supervision,  experience, guarantees, and procedures.

Al-Assad puts the bilateral of playing with time which he has perfected since the starting of the crisis and the war together, so the value of the proposal is that it is approaching and the military action is giving accomplishments and progresses, so the opponents are travelling form one capital to another because the time is imminent, they say that the situation in Syria is becoming worse so there must be a solution , in other words because the terrorist groups are falling while the Syrian army is proceeding, so there must be acceleration before everything is resolved within months and they have to save what can be saved before it is too late.

Beyond this plan there were economical, military, and strategic understandings with the allies for years and for the coming years through which their stability has been fortified against all temptations, by anticipating the coming realties trough  facts and offers that resolve the credibility and encourage the stability, in addition to a genius strategic mind, with a legendary will of steadfastness and stability, but at the same time there was army and people that present sacrifices, and a loyal immolated ally it is Hezbollah, a full partner in making accomplishments, and two international allies with a high degree of seriousness, resolution, and bravery those are Iran and Russia. This is Al-Assad’s plan, it approaches the moment of “Checkmate” while Adel Al-Jubeir is still running as a fool of the king in a chess game, while the fighting is going on outside the range of his movement, but not far from it, this is situation of the fool.