Albinaa’ Newspaper August 15, 2024
Nasser Kandil
Many believe that the talk about America falling short of a plan is a sort of exaggeration and minimization of the level of planning which characterizes the most powerful nation in the world, and many will respond that America is the nation of multiple scenarios, alternate plans, and artificial intelligence, and cannot be called a nation missing a plan. However, anyone tracking American policies and wars cannot but understand the conclusion that America has no plan.
America possesses a detailed technical execution plan for war when it sends her forces to battle or sends over her fleets for the possibility of confrontation, as in the current situation. But does America have a comprehensive plan in response to all the possibilities her forces and fleets might face? The answer is no, as evidenced by what occurred after Al Aqsa Deluge and the arrival of fleets to prevent support from any front. When the supportive fronts were activated, America was forced to engage in a confrontation with Yemen, which resulted in a loss to the image of deterrence which she safeguards, preventing her from expanding the circle of engagement. Perhaps this time, America may have decided to do the contrary by engaging in the protection of the entity from Iranian missiles and drones, and when it fails, will have no response for what ought to be done next.
When Washington decided not to comply with the Minsk Agreement on the Ukraine, with Germany’s and France’s noncompliance on her behalf, and thrust the government in Kiev to provoke Moscow by targeting the citizens of Russian origin in east Ukraine, her objective was luring Russia into war. Washington possessed a detailed technical execution plan to transform Russian engagement in a war with the Ukraine into a reason to impose a bundle of deadly sanctions on the Russian economy and banks, with all scenarios before her predicting the collapse of the currency, banks, and economy, and by derivative the regime. However, when the collapse happened, and Russia managed to contain the sanctions and transform them into an opportunity, Washington had no alternative but to deal with the war on a day to day basis, only to realize one day that she no longer had sufficient ammunition to supply Ukraine’s needs to continue the war.
Washington planned carefully how to invade Afghanistan and Iraq, but began to talk about deadlock and failure months after invading Iraq, and needed 20 years to admit failure in Afghanistan, incurring financial and human costs, and ended with President Joe Biden stating that staying another 20 years will not change anything. Washington consistently distinguishes herself technically with careful and precise planning, but politically is ruled by an assumption of superiority and an arrogant claim of achievement ability, and when she collides with impotence and failure, becomes obdurate and remains in denial to the extent that she can tolerate the price. In addition to Washington’s inability to succeed, admission of failure requires her reaching the stage when the price becomes unaffordable.
In the war on Syria, the planning was remarkably astute in convincing Turkey of Neo-Ottomanism, and in the planning of the launch of the Arab Spring and transforming it into a spring led by the Muslim Brotherhood in several Arab countries. How exceptionally intelligent was guaranteeing the roll of the fireball to Syria, and how clever was the planning for gathering 100 countries and 100 intelligence apparatus and one hundred Fatwa (legal ruling on a point of Islamic law) and billions of dollars and hundreds of thousands of terrorists! However, all the plans did not account for the possibilities of failure, and Syria succeeding in resisting, and rousing her allies, and their engagement in the war in her defense and in defense of her geo-political position. And when the plan failed and the prey escaped, according to the war’s secretary Hamad Bin Jassim, Washington preserved in her obstinacy and remained in a state of denial, finding it sufficient to block all opportunities for a resolution, despite her conviction of the futility of any wager to change balances, as long as it can afford the price, until the point of inability of paying the bill for staying is reached, and she announces withdrawing her hand, as she has done in Afghanistan.
Those enamored with America, her brains, intelligence, and artificial intelligence cannot deny that they were surprised, just like the occupying entity was surprised, by Al Aqsa Deluge, despite the 2 years of preparation and planning before its execution. They never expected politically that anything could hit what U.S. National Security Advisor, Jake Sullivan, described as freezing the Middle East by virtue of President Joe Biden’s genius to be unfettered in facing Russia and China, which he wrote in his famous article for Foreign Policy Magazine a few days preceding Al Aqsa Deluge, and which he tried to rectify after the Deluge occurred, but the traces of his naivety and distance from reality remained evident. They also were taken aback by the results of the war on Gaza, its endurance for 10 months and counting, and astounded by Al Mukawama’s potency on Lebanon’s front, and what occurred on the Yemeni front, and how the war of deterrence in the Red Sea was lost, and what this represents from the perspective of American strategies.
America has a detailed technical plan for conducting the negotiations which it called for under the slogan of agreement in Gaza, and has big expectations for it, not to reach an agreement, but to postpone the response against the occupying entity decided on by Iran and Al Mukawama forces. Washington has no objection to holding negotiation sessions for the sake of negotiation, but has no plan to answer the question : What if Hamas, as a condition for joining negotiations, continues to insist on the conclusion of negotiations between Washington and Tel Aviv ending with the text and terms of the Security Council’s endorsement of the American President’s proposal, an already achieved agreement in Hamas’ view, which will require for Washington to decide between failure of negotiations or pressuring the occupation’s Prime Minister, Benyamin Netanyahu, after it had granted him all reasons for holding firm, whether through the green light for his assassinations, or his feeling of empowerment in seeing the American military amassment coming to protect him, his military, and his entity?
The arrogance of power is the deadliest assassin of intelligence in the powerful.
