Bashar Al-Assad and Daniel Ortega

Written by Nasser Kandil,

Translated by Lina Shehadeh,

Everything reveals that the military option to impose new balances in favor of the alliance which led by Washington against Syria for many past years is no longer meaningful, because a new stage has started with Vienna’s path and the admission of the triplicity. First, the priority of the war on terrorism without overthrowing the regime. Second, classifying all Al-Qaeda nominations and who refuses to fight them as organizations and bodies related to the terrorism which have no place in the political process. Third the elections alone can resolve the future of the Syrian presidency, where there is no transitional governing body but a government of national unity that includes the government and the opposition after a dialogue in which participate the committers of this triplicity. The content of the new phase based on the admission that the war has become at the Syrian Russian and Iranian custody, where the attempts of partnerships by Washington and its allies had not succeeded before, so what about the attempts of its postponing and disrupting?

Washington has resorted to a new beg which is not any more the surrender but the bet on the elections as a mean to change the reality in Syria, in its considerations there are two matters the procedures and the considerations, regarding the procedures, Washington knows that the talk about a supervision and guarantees for equality in the competition in nominations and election will open the door for harsh and difficult negotiation it bets on gaining the largest number to influence the elected blocks and weakening the influence of the supporters of the Syrian President Bashar Al-Assad, either by the interventions of the external preparation teams, or by an organized participation of the refugees and immigrants, and imposing pressure on them through intimidation and enticement since they have become an important block, or by proposing the intervention of the supervisors in everything to achieve the results, or through money, propaganda, and the organized plans of the electoral campaigns in which it has experiences and unlimited capacities, or through what it is betting on convincing its allies under the title of considerations by choosing one candidate who is supported by all regionally and internationally and on which the opposition is putting its importance to make him win, especially if he is of the figures who has a confusion among the supporters, at the same time it does not seem an attempt to have control  on a regional international alliance against Syria. This made Washington regain its experience in Nicaragua through the attempt of causing the electoral defeat of the Sandinista Commander and the present President of Nicaragua for a third presidential reign Daniel Ortega, this was after the reconciliation which took place between him and his opponents in 1990, and has led to his lose in the presidential elections in front of a candidate who came out of the rank of his front but she had opposite policies Violeta Chamorro, he was not able to change the consequences of this defeat till 2006.

The essence of the American experience in Nicaragua is the ability to organize an electoral winning by joining affiliated opponents to it to support a candidate who belongs historically to the opponents’ camp as Violeta Chamorro who was an effective influential person politically and in media against the regime of Somoza and has belonged to the same camp of Daniel Ortega the commander of the Sandinista Front which has entered the settlement and accepted the judgment of the elections. What was Washington thinking of will not be far of what it has done in Nicaragua especially after repeating the experience in a different way in Yemen by making Mansour Hadi the Deputy of Ali Abdullah Saleh taking over the presidency and nominating himself for by uncontested elections.

In Syria it is different, the Americans know this very well but they do not have any choice but to try and to bet, because whatever the Americans have played the game of names in Syria, there is not any true popular political force that has participated in the war on terrorism and can participate with them in the electoral competition. Only the President Bashar Al-Assad the symbol of the this war and the symbol of the subsequent victory, in Syria whoever is supported by the Gulf is a conqueror according to his people even if they finance the reconstruction of Syria, in Syria there is no opportunity for the bet on the money in making fundamental change where the choices are fatal as the war has showed the Syrians, in Syria the confrontation is revolving at the end between two candidates for political choices where neither the game of names, nor the finance, nor the propaganda can benefit, it is a choice of war that was waded defending on the independence of Syria, its national decision, its unity and sovereignty and conquering the terrorism which targeted it in its people, land, and army, opposed by a choice of war whatever were the interpretations, which means the choice of terrorism, Gulf, West even if it wears the close of innocence and the peace.

The time which the people of Nicaragua needed to distinguish the American project of Chamorro from the national project of Ortega is not needed by the Syrians.