America has authorized Russia in Syria!

Written by Nasser Kandil,

When the US – Russian cooperation becomes announced and dedicated at the level of the two presidencies the debate is no longer  about whether there is an understanding or not, and when the US reports talk publicly about the US recognition of the end of the dispute with Moscow over the future of the Syrian presidency despite the contradictory statements, sometimes in order to appease some of the allies which are financially generous towards Washington, the political dimension becomes clear in favor of the cooperation for a political solution with no obstacles, as long as the issue of the Syrian presidency which was the cause of the failure of all the previous Russian –American rapprochement endeavors was resolved, and when Washington which has adapted with the fall of its red line to prevent the Syrian army from reaching the borders with Iraq and the failure of its groups which reside in Tanf from reaching the borders, along with the inability of the Kurdish groups to resolve the war against ISIS, although this war has become resolved that its final and crucial part will be in Deir Al Zour and Mayadeen where the Kurdish groups do not have the ability to resolve, however the Syrian army is the one which it has, then the US – Russian cooperation will have another vocabulary other than the understanding on the staying of the Syrian President, it is the understanding on the pivotal role of the Syrian army.

After the US recognition of the failure of the chaos, its prolonging, and its controlling, and the failure of the division which it is a condition for the survival of ISIS, and with the fall of ISIS and the fall of the Kurdish state that hides under the plea of fighting ISIS, The US presence in Syria will end surely and the roads will become open in front of the Syrian army for having control on the international geography of Syria from the borders to the borders, while the armed areas between the borders become subject to calm agreements, this is in addition to the political solution for a government under the leadership of the Syrian President in preparation for elections, So the question becomes what will ensure the truce  after the failure of Astana in announcing control methods due to the refusal of Syria of the role of the Turks, and the refusal of Iranian observers  in the south by the armed groups. The US –Russian understanding came under the title of Russian observers, therefore, who will ensure a truce its first part is the Syrian army who is opposed with the militants of Homs and Ghouta, and who will ensure a truce with the Kurds in the north-east, and with the militias supported by Turkey in the north-west?

When the Americans and the Russians think of a second and a third truce, it will not be possible to talk about observers who ensure the truce and who were agreed upon by everyone, whether the Syrian army, its Iranians allies, and Hezbollah on one hand, or the Turks, The Kurds, and the Americans on the other hand but only the Russian military police. If politically the recognition of Washington was by the abandonment of the reason of its war on Syria and the recognition of the central demand of Moscow regarding the Syrian presidency, and militarily through the intensive Russian presence and the pivotal role of the Syrian army, and security through observers from the Russian military police who can ensure the truce, as well as the economic interests in oil and gas about which Moscow has long contracts with the Syrian government. Then what is left to say is that a US authorization to Russia in Syria has been settled in exchange of achieving the minimum level desired by America after the failure of its project, knowing that the ceiling of the minimum level has become too low as ensuring the return of stability to a strong unified central country, getting rid of ISIS, and disallowance of creating igniting situation on the Golan borders.

Translated by Lina Shehadeh,