The cohesion of the resistance’s axis and the allies is a choice and a decision In Syria, Yemen, Iraq, and Lebanon

Written by Nasser Kandil,

It is wrong to separate between the attack which was crowded for it men and weapons by Al Nusra Front and all the groups which were classified by Washington as a moderate opposition; knowing that these preparations were presented by the Turks, the Saudis, and the Qataris, and where the Americans allowed their arrival and the French people helped in it, and the Turkish provocations in each of the Syrian and the Iraqi geography, as it  is wrong to separate between that attack and Washington’s endeavors to restrict the war on ISIS and Al Nusra in the cities which are located on the courses of Euphrates and Tigris Rivers such as Mosul, Raqqa, and Deir Al Zour in order to keep this vast Mesopotamia as  US dominance area, under the pretext of long war on ISIS. As it is wrong to separate as well  between all of that and the brutal campaign which is waged by the Saudis on Al Houthis by fabricating the narration of bombing Mecca and between the hostile speech against Syria and Hezbollah which the Saudis and the Prime Minister Saad Al-Hariri are insisting on in conjunction with the continuation of Al-Hariri of the settlement which will lead him to the presidency of the government once again in exchange of making the General Aoun a President for the Republic, after the resistance  of Hezbollah has turned this arrival into compulsory way to fill the presidential vacancy in Lebanon depending on facts which are written by the martyrs of Hezbollah in the battlefields and the victories achieved by  the axis of the resistance.

The Lebanese people exaggerate if they suggest that the settlement which they are going to witness is an integrated accomplished one that leads to salvation, but the war is still at its peak even if the indicators of the victory are in favor of the axis of the resistance supported by Russia; the rising force toward playing an international and a regional role in making the equations. The settlement which includes a victory for the axis of the resistance through the arrival of the General Aoun to Baabda Palace resembled the US Russian understanding about Syria which includes few months ago minute details about the cooperation which must be played in the war on ISIS and Al Nusra as well as the mutual commitments of the two parties in a roadmap of a political solution that bases on dismantling the relation of the groups which are nominated by Washington as moderate from Al Nusra front and opening the door for a calm that drives these groups to a political path started with a government under the presidency of the Syrian President and ended with presidential and parliamentary elections according to new constitution. But this understanding was not translated into realistic map, it is still in the background of the current wars in Syria under linking a conflict as what Lebanon is going to, with the failure of all the attempts of improving the conditions in the field which it sponsors and bets on, as the case of the current attack on the western of Aleppo which the west has paved for it through a diplomatic media, and psychological war on Moscow hoping to prevent its support of the Syrian army on one hand, and to give the armed groups the necessary time to prepare themselves for the attack on the other hand. But according to the Russians the understanding forms after every confrontation the document which they offer to the Americans with every accomplishment they achieve in the field with the Syrians and their allies. The question is whether what is going on is enough to understand the impossibility of adjusting the balances and to recognize the fact that says that the understanding remains the inevitable shelter. Moscow knows that the understanding of eliminating Al Nusra front ends the hopes of an effective military action against the Syrian army and opens the door for the admission of the victory of the Syrian President as the first ally of Russian in the East

The path of nominating a prime minister and forming a government in Lebanon is as the truce management in Syria, and as the management of the endeavors of the political solution in Yemen. Paths that did not reach to the level of maturity that makes it filling the scene alone, they proceed as paths that have self-momentum due to the expensive costs of the outcomes of the paths on the opponent alliance which is against the resistance and Syria, and which is aware that any resorting eventually to the ballot boxes in Syria, Iraq, Yemen, and Lebanon will not be in the favor of its parties, which want to ensure their presence and interests through deals imposed by the outside which is longer has the ability to do so, despite its readiness to sponsor their refusal of the settlements through options that disable the settlements temporarily in order to test the balances of forces. This turning in the paths of settlements and the alternation between the calm and the escalation will accompany the Lebanese scene which does not seem an exception in the overall scene of the region, as long as the major players regionally and internationally who are on the opposite bank of the axis of the resistance do not look at Lebanon and do not deal with it, but only as the force of the resistance and the future of its role. They approach the Lebanese settlement differently than the Lebanese who have good intentions among the politicians, from the matter of how to grant the resistance a presidential victory in order to have a parallel one that allows them to approach from the sensitive areas of its alliances in order to temper in them or to bet on such a temper.  Exactly as they tried previously in the truce of Syria a few months ago by betting on a dispute between Syria and Russia, between Russian and Iran, and between Hezbollah and Syria and Russia and Iran.

Just as the Russians, the Syrians, the Iranians, and Hezbollah are facing the maneuvers of calm in Syria and fighting as a coherent rank the wars which are igniting by the opposite team, preventing any temper that divides the ranks, they are waging the equations of Iraq and Yemen with the same will, approaching the Lebanese settlement with the same consideration awareness, and vigilance, and helping to ensure the settlement and to expand its range. But as Hezbollah is taking over the responsibility of fighting in Syria and taking over the responsibility of the presidential resistance till it becomes mature, the Speaker of the Parliament Nabih Berri will take over the responsibility of managing the coming entitlements as confrontation and understandings. Whatever was the voting, the bets on dividing the ranks will fall, because the war in the region ended, and what will continue are the attempts of denial which are similar to what the Prime Minister Fouad Al Siniora said after the war of July that Lebanon did not win, then only a government will be born recognizing the golden equation which protects Lebanon where there is no place for the woody equations in Lennon.

Translated by Lina Shehadeh,